LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Celta | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 55 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 52.80 | 59.88 |
| Gap | +2.20 | +10.12 |
| Yield | −10.8% | +11.5% |
Both market films
CeltaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Celta | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | +7.86 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | −0.57 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | −5.10 | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
26 Aug 2024 Villarreal 4 – 3 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 58% | 23% | 1.96 | 3 | +1.04 |
| Celta | 20% | 23% | 0.81 | 0 | −0.81 |
23 Apr 2025 Celta 3 – 0 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 40% | 27% | 1.46 | 3 | +1.54 |
| Villarreal | 33% | 27% | 1.26 | 0 | −1.26 |