LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Celta | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 54 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 52.42 | 59.52 |
| Gap | +1.58 | +12.48 |
| Yield | +13.3% | +11.5% |
Both market films
CeltaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Celta | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | −7.05 | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | +7.50 | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | +1.13 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
31 Aug 2025 Celta 1 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 30% | 27% | 1.18 | 1 | −0.18 |
| Villarreal | 43% | 27% | 1.55 | 1 | −0.55 |
26 Apr 2026 Villarreal 2 – 1 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 50% | 26% | 1.75 | 3 | +1.25 |
| Celta | 25% | 26% | 0.99 | 0 | −0.99 |