LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Elche Rayo Vallecano
Matches played3838
Points2549
Points expected by the market32.0948.90
Gap−7.09+0.10
Yield−17.7%+3.9%

Both market films

ElcheRayo Vallecano

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

ElcheRayo Vallecano
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0——0——
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0——11 −1.59 −16.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 7 −4.65 −100.0%12 −1.58 −3.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 31 −2.44 +0.9%15 +3.26 +24.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

3 Oct 2022 Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Elche

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 61% 23% 2.07 3 +0.93
Elche 15% 23% 0.69 0 −0.69

29 Apr 2023 Elche 4 – 0 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Elche 24% 28% 1.01 3 +1.99
Rayo Vallecano 48% 28% 1.71 0 −1.71