LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Elche | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 41.71 | 48.47 |
| Gap | +1.29 | +1.53 |
| Yield | −36.7% | −13.3% |
Both market films
ElcheRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Elche | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 4* | +5.36 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.89 | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | −7.97 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
21 Dec 2025 Elche 4 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 38% | 32% | 1.46 | 3 | +1.54 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 30% | 32% | 1.22 | 0 | −1.22 |
3 Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 0 Elche
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 55% | 25% | 1.90 | 3 | +1.10 |
| Elche | 20% | 25% | 0.85 | 0 | −0.85 |