LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Elche | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 41.71 | 80.18 |
| Gap | +1.29 | +5.82 |
| Yield | −36.7% | +5.7% |
Both market films
ElcheReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Elche | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 4* | +5.36 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.89 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | −7.97 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
23 Nov 2025 Elche 2 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 14% | 18% | 0.60 | 1 | +0.40 |
| Real Madrid | 68% | 18% | 2.21 | 1 | −1.21 |
14 Mar 2026 Real Madrid 4 – 1 Elche
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 74% | 16% | 2.38 | 3 | +0.62 |
| Elche | 10% | 16% | 0.46 | 0 | −0.46 |