LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Elche | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 41.71 | 59.52 |
| Gap | +1.29 | +12.48 |
| Yield | −36.7% | +11.5% |
Both market films
ElcheVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Elche | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 4* | +5.36 | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.89 | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | −7.97 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
3 Jan 2026 Elche 1 – 3 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 31% | 27% | 1.19 | 0 | −1.19 |
| Villarreal | 42% | 27% | 1.54 | 3 | +1.46 |
8 Mar 2026 Villarreal 2 – 1 Elche
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 65% | 21% | 2.16 | 3 | +0.84 |
| Elche | 14% | 21% | 0.64 | 0 | −0.64 |