LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 88 | 52 |
| Points expected by the market | 81.73 | 46.81 |
| Gap | +6.27 | +5.19 |
| Yield | +13.2% | +1.4% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | +1.83 | 2* | −0.41 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | +1.07 | 5 | −2.02 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | +3.38 | 15 | +3.58 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 16 | +4.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
27 Aug 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 2 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 18% | 24% | 0.79 | 0 | −0.79 |
| FC Barcelona | 58% | 24% | 1.97 | 3 | +1.03 |
17 Feb 2025 FC Barcelona 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 79% | 13% | 2.51 | 3 | +0.49 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 8% | 13% | 0.36 | 0 | −0.36 |