LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 94 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 82.58 | 48.47 |
| Gap | +11.42 | +1.53 |
| Yield | +14.4% | −13.3% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | +6.76 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +5.69 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −1.03 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
31 Aug 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 14% | 18% | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 |
| FC Barcelona | 67% | 18% | 2.21 | 1 | −1.21 |
22 Mar 2026 FC Barcelona 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 78% | 13% | 2.48 | 3 | +0.52 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 8% | 13% | 0.39 | 0 | −0.39 |