LaLiga 2020-21 · Data up to 23 May 2021
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 79 | 84 |
| Points expected by the market | 83.56 | 76.77 |
| Gap | −4.56 | +7.23 |
| Yield | −8.9% | +12.0% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | −4.68 | 17 | −4.42 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | +1.54 | 15 | +5.54 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 3* | −1.41 | 5 | +4.10 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 1* | +2.02 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
24 Oct 2020 FC Barcelona 1 – 3 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 51% | 25% | 1.77 | 0 | −1.77 |
| Real Madrid | 24% | 25% | 0.98 | 3 | +2.02 |
10 Apr 2021 Real Madrid 2 – 1 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 35% | 25% | 1.30 | 3 | +1.70 |
| FC Barcelona | 40% | 25% | 1.45 | 0 | −1.45 |