LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 85 | 95 |
| Points expected by the market | 76.40 | 79.59 |
| Gap | +8.60 | +15.41 |
| Yield | +12.0% | +20.3% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | +0.88 | 19 | +7.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +8.80 | 15 | +4.23 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | −0.16 | 4* | +3.50 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −0.91 | 0 | — | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
28 Oct 2023 FC Barcelona 1 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 37% | 27% | 1.39 | 0 | −1.39 |
| Real Madrid | 36% | 27% | 1.34 | 3 | +1.66 |
21 Apr 2024 Real Madrid 3 – 2 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 55% | 22% | 1.87 | 3 | +1.13 |
| FC Barcelona | 23% | 22% | 0.91 | 0 | −0.91 |