LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 88 | 84 |
| Points expected by the market | 81.73 | 81.45 |
| Gap | +6.27 | +2.55 |
| Yield | +13.2% | −2.4% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | +1.83 | 24 | +2.64 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | +1.07 | 10 | +1.46 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | +3.38 | 3* | −0.52 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 1* | −1.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
26 Oct 2024 Real Madrid 0 – 4 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 49% | 23% | 1.70 | 0 | −1.70 |
| FC Barcelona | 28% | 23% | 1.07 | 3 | +1.93 |
11 May 2025 FC Barcelona 4 – 3 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 51% | 22% | 1.75 | 3 | +1.25 |
| Real Madrid | 27% | 22% | 1.03 | 0 | −1.03 |