LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 94 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 82.58 | 80.18 |
| Gap | +11.42 | +5.82 |
| Yield | +14.4% | +5.7% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | +6.76 | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +5.69 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −1.03 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
26 Oct 2025 Real Madrid 2 – 1 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 51% | 22% | 1.75 | 3 | +1.25 |
| FC Barcelona | 27% | 22% | 1.03 | 0 | −1.03 |
10 May 2026 FC Barcelona 2 – 0 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 57% | 20% | 1.92 | 3 | +1.08 |
| Real Madrid | 22% | 20% | 0.88 | 0 | −0.88 |