LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 85 | 53 |
| Points expected by the market | 76.40 | 51.51 |
| Gap | +8.60 | +1.49 |
| Yield | +12.0% | +8.3% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | +0.88 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +8.80 | 13 | −1.37 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | −0.16 | 17 | −2.20 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −0.91 | 8 | +5.06 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
27 Aug 2023 Villarreal 3 – 4 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 28% | 26% | 1.10 | 0 | −1.10 |
| FC Barcelona | 46% | 26% | 1.64 | 3 | +1.36 |
27 Jan 2024 FC Barcelona 3 – 5 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 69% | 17% | 2.24 | 0 | −2.24 |
| Villarreal | 14% | 17% | 0.58 | 3 | +2.42 |