LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 88 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 81.73 | 59.88 |
| Gap | +6.27 | +10.12 |
| Yield | +13.2% | +11.5% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | +1.83 | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | +1.07 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | +3.38 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
22 Sep 2024 Villarreal 1 – 5 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 26% | 24% | 1.01 | 0 | −1.01 |
| FC Barcelona | 51% | 24% | 1.76 | 3 | +1.24 |
18 May 2025 FC Barcelona 2 – 3 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 56% | 21% | 1.88 | 0 | −1.88 |
| Villarreal | 23% | 21% | 0.90 | 3 | +2.10 |