LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | FC Barcelona | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 94 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 82.58 | 59.52 |
| Gap | +11.42 | +12.48 |
| Yield | +14.4% | +11.5% |
Both market films
FC BarcelonaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| FC Barcelona | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | +6.76 | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +5.69 | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −1.03 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
21 Dec 2025 Villarreal 0 – 2 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 24% | 22% | 0.94 | 0 | −0.94 |
| FC Barcelona | 54% | 22% | 1.85 | 3 | +1.15 |
28 Feb 2026 FC Barcelona 4 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 69% | 17% | 2.23 | 3 | +0.77 |
| Villarreal | 14% | 17% | 0.60 | 0 | −0.60 |