LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Girona Rayo Vallecano
Matches played3838
Points4152
Points expected by the market53.0946.81
Gap−12.09+5.19
Yield−41.7%+1.4%

Both market films

GironaRayo Vallecano

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

GironaRayo Vallecano
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 2* +1.57 +42.0%2* −0.41 −29.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 −2.02 −20.0%5 −2.02 −17.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 −6.71 −38.1%15 +3.58 +3.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 8 −4.93 −100.0%16 +4.03 +9.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

25 Sep 2024 Girona 0 – 0 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Girona 57% 25% 1.95 1 −0.95
Rayo Vallecano 19% 25% 0.80 1 +0.20

26 Jan 2025 Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Girona

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 37% 32% 1.44 3 +1.56
Girona 31% 32% 1.25 0 −1.25