LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Girona | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 41 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 44.96 | 48.47 |
| Gap | −3.96 | +1.53 |
| Yield | −13.7% | −13.3% |
Both market films
GironaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Girona | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −5.23 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −1.12 | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +2.39 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
15 Aug 2025 Girona 1 – 3 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 39% | 30% | 1.48 | 0 | −1.48 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 31% | 30% | 1.22 | 3 | +1.78 |
11 May 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Girona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 42% | 29% | 1.56 | 1 | −0.56 |
| Girona | 29% | 29% | 1.15 | 1 | −0.15 |