LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Girona Real Madrid
Matches played3838
Points4184
Points expected by the market53.0981.45
Gap−12.09+2.55
Yield−41.7%−2.4%

Both market films

GironaReal Madrid

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

GironaReal Madrid
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 2* +1.57 +42.0%24 +2.64 +1.1%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 −2.02 −20.0%10 +1.46 +6.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 −6.71 −38.1%3* −0.52 −26.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 8 −4.93 −100.0%1* −1.03 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

7 Dec 2024 Girona 0 – 3 Real Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Girona 22% 24% 0.91 0 −0.91
Real Madrid 53% 24% 1.85 3 +1.15

23 Feb 2025 Real Madrid 2 – 0 Girona

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Madrid 75% 15% 2.41 3 +0.59
Girona 10% 15% 0.45 0 −0.45