LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Girona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 41 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 44.96 | 80.18 |
| Gap | −3.96 | +5.82 |
| Yield | −13.7% | +5.7% |
Both market films
GironaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Girona | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −5.23 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −1.12 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +2.39 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
30 Nov 2025 Girona 1 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 13% | 17% | 0.57 | 1 | +0.43 |
| Real Madrid | 69% | 17% | 2.26 | 1 | −1.26 |
10 Apr 2026 Real Madrid 1 – 1 Girona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 72% | 16% | 2.31 | 1 | −1.31 |
| Girona | 12% | 16% | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 |