LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Leganés Rayo Vallecano
Matches played3838
Points4052
Points expected by the market36.3146.81
Gap+3.69+5.19
Yield+20.9%+1.4%

Both market films

LeganésRayo Vallecano

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

LeganésRayo Vallecano
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 1* +0.68 +33.0%2* −0.41 −29.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0——5 −2.02 −17.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 10 +4.45 +32.2%15 +3.58 +3.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 27 −1.43 +16.3%16 +4.03 +9.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

28 Sep 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Leganés

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 51% 31% 1.85 1 −0.85
Leganés 18% 31% 0.85 1 +0.15

31 Jan 2025 Leganés 0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Leganés 29% 32% 1.18 0 −1.18
Rayo Vallecano 39% 32% 1.50 3 +1.50