LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Leganés | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 40 | 84 |
| Points expected by the market | 36.31 | 81.45 |
| Gap | +3.69 | +2.55 |
| Yield | +20.9% | −2.4% |
Both market films
LeganésReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Leganés | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | +0.68 | 24 | +2.64 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | 10 | +1.46 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | +4.45 | 3* | −0.52 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | −1.43 | 1* | −1.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
24 Nov 2024 Leganés 0 – 3 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés | 10% | 19% | 0.51 | 0 | −0.51 |
| Real Madrid | 70% | 19% | 2.30 | 3 | +0.70 |
29 Mar 2025 Real Madrid 3 – 2 Leganés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 80% | 13% | 2.53 | 3 | +0.47 |
| Leganés | 7% | 13% | 0.34 | 0 | −0.34 |