LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
Matches played3838
Points4852
Points expected by the market46.9746.81
Gap+1.03+5.19
Yield−3.3%+1.4%

Both market films

MallorcaRayo Vallecano

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

MallorcaRayo Vallecano
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 1* +0.67 +33.0%2* −0.41 −29.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 +4.04 +57.2%5 −2.02 −17.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 16 −3.69 −11.8%15 +3.58 +3.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 16 +0.01 −15.9%16 +4.03 +9.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

20 Oct 2024 Mallorca 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Mallorca 47% 31% 1.70 3 +1.30
Rayo Vallecano 23% 31% 0.99 0 −0.99

24 May 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Mallorca

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 65% 22% 2.16 1 −1.16
Mallorca 13% 22% 0.61 1 +0.39