LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
Matches played3838
Points4250
Points expected by the market41.5848.47
Gap+0.42+1.53
Yield−10.4%−13.3%

Both market films

MallorcaRayo Vallecano

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

MallorcaRayo Vallecano
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 1* +0.85 +45.0%0——
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 1* −0.74 −100.0%10 +1.44 −6.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 +0.19 −11.8%17 −0.73 −12.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 19 +0.12 −7.4%11 +0.82 −20.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

11 Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Mallorca

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 50% 30% 1.79 3 +1.21
Mallorca 20% 30% 0.91 0 −0.91

12 Apr 2026 Mallorca 3 – 0 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Mallorca 39% 29% 1.47 3 +1.53
Rayo Vallecano 32% 29% 1.25 0 −1.25