LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Mallorca | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 42 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 41.58 | 80.18 |
| Gap | +0.42 | +5.82 |
| Yield | −10.4% | +5.7% |
Both market films
MallorcaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Mallorca | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | +0.85 | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 1* | −0.74 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | +0.19 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | +0.12 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
30 Aug 2025 Real Madrid 2 – 1 Mallorca
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 81% | 13% | 2.57 | 3 | +0.43 |
| Mallorca | 6% | 13% | 0.31 | 0 | −0.31 |
4 Apr 2026 Mallorca 2 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 17% | 21% | 0.73 | 3 | +2.27 |
| Real Madrid | 61% | 21% | 2.05 | 0 | −2.05 |