LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 38 |
| Points expected by the market | 44.63 | 46.53 |
| Gap | +0.37 | −8.53 |
| Yield | +14.0% | −46.5% |
Both market films
OsasunaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | +0.84 | 8 | −3.68 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | −2.75 | 13 | +2.77 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +2.28 | 17 | −7.62 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
15 Dec 2023 Osasuna 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 43% | 30% | 1.59 | 3 | +1.41 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 27% | 30% | 1.11 | 0 | −1.11 |
20 Apr 2024 Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Osasuna
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 45% | 31% | 1.67 | 3 | +1.33 |
| Osasuna | 24% | 31% | 1.02 | 0 | −1.02 |