LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 52 | 52 |
| Points expected by the market | 45.28 | 46.81 |
| Gap | +6.72 | +5.19 |
| Yield | −10.2% | +1.4% |
Both market films
OsasunaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 2* | −0.41 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | +3.77 | 5 | −2.02 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +1.25 | 15 | +3.58 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | +1.71 | 16 | +4.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
16 Sep 2024 Rayo Vallecano 3 – 1 Osasuna
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 45% | 30% | 1.67 | 3 | +1.33 |
| Osasuna | 24% | 30% | 1.03 | 0 | −1.03 |
19 Jan 2025 Osasuna 1 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 41% | 31% | 1.55 | 1 | −0.55 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 28% | 31% | 1.14 | 1 | −0.14 |