LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 42 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 48.59 | 48.47 |
| Gap | −6.59 | +1.53 |
| Yield | −24.9% | −13.3% |
Both market films
OsasunaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | +2.87 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | −7.91 | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | −1.56 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
14 Sep 2025 Osasuna 2 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 35% | 32% | 1.36 | 3 | +1.64 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 33% | 32% | 1.31 | 0 | −1.31 |
24 Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 3 Osasuna
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 42% | 31% | 1.58 | 0 | −1.58 |
| Osasuna | 27% | 31% | 1.12 | 3 | +1.88 |