LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Osasuna | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 42 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 48.59 | 80.18 |
| Gap | −6.59 | +5.82 |
| Yield | −24.9% | +5.7% |
Both market films
OsasunaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Osasuna | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | +2.87 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | −7.91 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | −1.56 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
19 Aug 2025 Real Madrid 1 – 0 Osasuna
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 78% | 14% | 2.49 | 3 | +0.51 |
| Osasuna | 8% | 14% | 0.37 | 0 | −0.37 |
21 Feb 2026 Osasuna 2 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 20% | 24% | 0.85 | 3 | +2.15 |
| Real Madrid | 56% | 24% | 1.91 | 0 | −1.91 |