LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Osasuna | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 52 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 45.28 | 59.88 |
| Gap | +6.72 | +10.12 |
| Yield | −10.2% | +11.5% |
Both market films
OsasunaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Osasuna | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | +3.77 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +1.25 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | +1.71 | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
24 Nov 2024 Osasuna 2 – 2 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 36% | 29% | 1.38 | 1 | −0.38 |
| Villarreal | 35% | 29% | 1.34 | 1 | −0.34 |
3 May 2025 Villarreal 4 – 2 Osasuna
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 67% | 20% | 2.21 | 3 | +0.79 |
| Osasuna | 13% | 20% | 0.60 | 0 | −0.60 |