LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 38 | 95 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.53 | 79.59 |
| Gap | −8.53 | +15.41 |
| Yield | −46.5% | +20.3% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 19 | +7.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | −3.68 | 15 | +4.23 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | +2.77 | 4* | +3.50 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | −7.62 | 0 | — | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
5 Nov 2023 Real Madrid 0 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 79% | 14% | 2.50 | 1 | −1.50 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 7% | 14% | 0.35 | 1 | +0.65 |
18 Feb 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 19% | 24% | 0.80 | 1 | +0.20 |
| Real Madrid | 57% | 24% | 1.96 | 1 | −0.96 |