LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 52 | 84 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.81 | 81.45 |
| Gap | +5.19 | +2.55 |
| Yield | +1.4% | −2.4% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 2* | −0.41 | 24 | +2.64 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | −2.02 | 10 | +1.46 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.58 | 3* | −0.52 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +4.03 | 1* | −1.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
14 Dec 2024 Rayo Vallecano 3 – 3 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 15% | 23% | 0.68 | 1 | +0.32 |
| Real Madrid | 62% | 23% | 2.09 | 1 | −1.09 |
9 Mar 2025 Real Madrid 2 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 74% | 16% | 2.39 | 3 | +0.61 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 9% | 16% | 0.44 | 0 | −0.44 |