LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Real Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 50 | 29 |
| Points expected by the market | 48.47 | 36.13 |
| Gap | +1.53 | −7.13 |
| Yield | −13.3% | −41.9% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoReal Oviedo
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Oviedo | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | +1.44 | 0 | — | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | −0.73 | 15 | −1.19 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | +0.82 | 23 | −5.94 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
23 Nov 2025 Real Oviedo 0 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | 27% | 30% | 1.12 | 1 | −0.12 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 43% | 30% | 1.58 | 1 | −0.58 |
4 Mar 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3 – 0 Real Oviedo
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 54% | 27% | 1.90 | 3 | +1.10 |
| Real Oviedo | 19% | 27% | 0.83 | 0 | −0.83 |