LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 52 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.81 | 56.99 |
| Gap | +5.19 | −10.99 |
| Yield | +1.4% | −27.9% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Sociedad | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 2* | −0.41 | 2* | −0.64 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | −2.02 | 14 | −1.16 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.58 | 14 | −7.45 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +4.03 | 8 | −1.74 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
18 Aug 2024 Real Sociedad 1 – 2 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 54% | 28% | 1.90 | 0 | −1.90 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 18% | 28% | 0.82 | 3 | +2.18 |
16 Mar 2025 Rayo Vallecano 2 – 2 Real Sociedad
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 40% | 33% | 1.53 | 1 | −0.53 |
| Real Sociedad | 27% | 33% | 1.14 | 1 | −0.14 |