LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 50 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 48.47 | 52.07 |
| Gap | +1.53 | −6.07 |
| Yield | −13.3% | −31.7% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Sociedad | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | +1.44 | 11 | +0.84 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | −0.73 | 16 | −4.28 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | +0.82 | 11 | −2.63 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
5 Oct 2025 Real Sociedad 0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 44% | 28% | 1.62 | 0 | −1.62 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 27% | 28% | 1.10 | 3 | +1.90 |
26 Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3 – 3 Real Sociedad
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 36% | 28% | 1.36 | 1 | −0.36 |
| Real Sociedad | 36% | 28% | 1.36 | 1 | −0.36 |