LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Real Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 52 | 16 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.81 | 28.69 |
| Gap | +5.19 | −12.69 |
| Yield | +1.4% | −56.7% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoReal Valladolid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Valladolid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 2* | −0.41 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | −2.02 | 0 | — | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.58 | 6 | 0.00 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +4.03 | 32 | −12.69 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
5 Oct 2024 Real Valladolid 1 – 2 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | 28% | 32% | 1.17 | 0 | −1.17 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 40% | 32% | 1.51 | 3 | +1.49 |
7 Feb 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 0 Real Valladolid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 68% | 21% | 2.25 | 3 | +0.75 |
| Real Valladolid | 11% | 21% | 0.54 | 0 | −0.54 |