LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Rayo Vallecano Sevilla
Matches played3838
Points5241
Points expected by the market46.8149.06
Gap+5.19−8.06
Yield+1.4%−34.4%

Both market films

Rayo VallecanoSevilla

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

Rayo VallecanoSevilla
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 2* −0.41 −29.5%0——
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 −2.02 −17.2%11 −1.66 −33.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 +3.58 +3.5%15 −0.59 −11.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more 16 +4.03 +9.2%12 −5.81 −64.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

24 Nov 2024 Sevilla 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Sevilla 46% 29% 1.68 3 +1.32
Rayo Vallecano 24% 29% 1.03 0 −1.03

1 Mar 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Sevilla

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 37% 32% 1.43 1 −0.43
Sevilla 31% 32% 1.26 1 −0.26