LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 50 | 43 |
| Points expected by the market | 48.47 | 46.95 |
| Gap | +1.53 | −3.95 |
| Yield | −13.3% | −3.9% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoSevilla
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Sevilla | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | +1.44 | 9 | −6.51 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | −0.73 | 16 | +2.07 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | +0.82 | 13 | +0.49 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
28 Sep 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 1 Sevilla
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 47% | 28% | 1.71 | 0 | −1.71 |
| Sevilla | 24% | 28% | 1.01 | 3 | +1.99 |
8 Mar 2026 Sevilla 1 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 37% | 31% | 1.43 | 1 | −0.43 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 32% | 31% | 1.26 | 1 | −0.26 |