LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 52 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.81 | 47.32 |
| Gap | +5.19 | −1.32 |
| Yield | +1.4% | −14.0% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 2* | −0.41 | 1* | +0.76 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | −2.02 | 7 | −0.27 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.58 | 13 | +3.81 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +4.03 | 17 | −5.62 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
7 Dec 2024 Valencia 0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 43% | 32% | 1.61 | 0 | −1.61 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 25% | 32% | 1.07 | 3 | +1.93 |
19 Apr 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 40% | 30% | 1.50 | 1 | −0.50 |
| Valencia | 30% | 30% | 1.19 | 1 | −0.19 |