LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 50 | 49 |
| Points expected by the market | 48.47 | 47.41 |
| Gap | +1.53 | +1.59 |
| Yield | −13.3% | +0.3% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | +1.44 | 7 | −3.29 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | −0.73 | 20 | +8.64 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | +0.82 | 11 | −3.76 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
1 Dec 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 46% | 30% | 1.69 | 1 | −0.69 |
| Valencia | 24% | 30% | 1.02 | 1 | −0.02 |
14 May 2026 Valencia 1 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 41% | 31% | 1.54 | 1 | −0.54 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 28% | 31% | 1.15 | 1 | −0.15 |