LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Rayo Vallecano Villarreal
Matches played3838
Points4964
Points expected by the market48.9060.71
Gap+0.10+3.29
Yield+3.9%+20.0%

Both market films

Rayo VallecanoVillarreal

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

Rayo VallecanoVillarreal
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0——3* −0.69 −7.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 −1.59 −16.2%17 +2.19 +8.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 −1.58 −3.2%13 0.00 +5.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 15 +3.26 +24.5%5 +1.80 +111.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

30 Jan 2023 Villarreal 0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Villarreal 54% 26% 1.89 0 −1.89
Rayo Vallecano 20% 26% 0.85 3 +2.15

28 May 2023 Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Villarreal

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 31% 25% 1.18 3 +1.82
Villarreal 44% 25% 1.56 0 −1.56