LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 52 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.81 | 59.88 |
| Gap | +5.19 | +10.12 |
| Yield | +1.4% | +11.5% |
Both market films
Rayo VallecanoVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 2* | −0.41 | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | −2.02 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | +3.58 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | +4.03 | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
18 Dec 2024 Villarreal 1 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 54% | 25% | 1.87 | 1 | −0.87 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 21% | 25% | 0.88 | 1 | +0.12 |
22 Feb 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 34% | 29% | 1.33 | 0 | −1.33 |
| Villarreal | 36% | 29% | 1.38 | 3 | +1.62 |