LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Real Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 86 | 29 |
| Points expected by the market | 80.18 | 36.13 |
| Gap | +5.82 | −7.13 |
| Yield | +5.7% | −41.9% |
Both market films
Real MadridReal Oviedo
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Real Oviedo | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | +0.02 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +6.69 | 0 | — | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | −0.02 | 15 | −1.19 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −0.88 | 23 | −5.94 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
24 Aug 2025 Real Oviedo 0 – 3 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | 10% | 18% | 0.46 | 0 | −0.46 |
| Real Madrid | 73% | 18% | 2.36 | 3 | +0.64 |
14 May 2026 Real Madrid 2 – 0 Real Oviedo
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 77% | 14% | 2.46 | 3 | +0.54 |
| Real Oviedo | 8% | 14% | 0.39 | 0 | −0.39 |