LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Real Madrid Real Sociedad
Matches played3838
Points8446
Points expected by the market81.4556.99
Gap+2.55−10.99
Yield−2.4%−27.9%

Both market films

Real MadridReal Sociedad

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

Real MadridReal Sociedad
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 24 +2.64 +1.1%2* −0.64 −31.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 +1.46 +6.1%14 −1.16 +3.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 3* −0.52 −26.0%14 −7.45 −46.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 1* −1.03 −100.0%8 −1.74 −49.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

14 Sep 2024 Real Sociedad 0 – 2 Real Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Sociedad 20% 26% 0.86 0 −0.86
Real Madrid 54% 26% 1.89 3 +1.11

24 May 2025 Real Madrid 2 – 0 Real Sociedad

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Madrid 70% 17% 2.27 3 +0.73
Real Sociedad 13% 17% 0.56 0 −0.56