LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 86 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 80.18 | 52.07 |
| Gap | +5.82 | −6.07 |
| Yield | +5.7% | −31.7% |
Both market films
Real MadridReal Sociedad
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Real Sociedad | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | +0.02 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +6.69 | 11 | +0.84 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | −0.02 | 16 | −4.28 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −0.88 | 11 | −2.63 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
13 Sep 2025 Real Sociedad 1 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 18% | 23% | 0.75 | 0 | −0.75 |
| Real Madrid | 60% | 23% | 2.02 | 3 | +0.98 |
14 Feb 2026 Real Madrid 4 – 1 Real Sociedad
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 69% | 19% | 2.26 | 3 | +0.74 |
| Real Sociedad | 12% | 19% | 0.56 | 0 | −0.56 |