LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 84 | 41 |
| Points expected by the market | 81.45 | 49.06 |
| Gap | +2.55 | −8.06 |
| Yield | −2.4% | −34.4% |
Both market films
Real MadridSevilla
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Sevilla | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | +2.64 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | +1.46 | 11 | −1.66 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 3* | −0.52 | 15 | −0.59 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −1.03 | 12 | −5.81 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
22 Dec 2024 Real Madrid 4 – 2 Sevilla
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 76% | 15% | 2.43 | 3 | +0.57 |
| Sevilla | 9% | 15% | 0.42 | 0 | −0.42 |
18 May 2025 Sevilla 0 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 30% | 26% | 1.17 | 0 | −1.17 |
| Real Madrid | 44% | 26% | 1.58 | 3 | +1.42 |