LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 86 | 43 |
| Points expected by the market | 80.18 | 46.95 |
| Gap | +5.82 | −3.95 |
| Yield | +5.7% | −3.9% |
Both market films
Real MadridSevilla
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Sevilla | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | +0.02 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +6.69 | 9 | −6.51 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | −0.02 | 16 | +2.07 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −0.88 | 13 | +0.49 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
20 Dec 2025 Real Madrid 2 – 0 Sevilla
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 79% | 13% | 2.51 | 3 | +0.49 |
| Sevilla | 7% | 13% | 0.36 | 0 | −0.36 |
17 May 2026 Sevilla 0 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 27% | 25% | 1.06 | 0 | −1.06 |
| Real Madrid | 48% | 25% | 1.68 | 3 | +1.32 |