LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 78 | 42 |
| Points expected by the market | 77.52 | 52.63 |
| Gap | +0.48 | −10.63 |
| Yield | −2.4% | −29.3% |
Both market films
Real MadridValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | +5.47 | 1* | −1.20 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | −8.64 | 12 | −0.61 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | +3.65 | 17 | −3.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 8 | −5.09 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
2 Feb 2023 Real Madrid 2 – 0 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 69% | 19% | 2.27 | 3 | +0.73 |
| Valencia | 12% | 19% | 0.54 | 0 | −0.54 |
21 May 2023 Valencia 1 – 0 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 29% | 27% | 1.15 | 3 | +1.85 |
| Real Madrid | 44% | 27% | 1.58 | 0 | −1.58 |