LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 95 | 49 |
| Points expected by the market | 79.59 | 48.45 |
| Gap | +15.41 | +0.55 |
| Yield | +20.3% | −10.5% |
Both market films
Real MadridValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | +7.68 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | +4.23 | 8 | +4.07 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 4* | +3.50 | 18 | −1.25 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | 12 | −2.27 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
11 Nov 2023 Real Madrid 5 – 1 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 72% | 18% | 2.33 | 3 | +0.67 |
| Valencia | 11% | 18% | 0.49 | 0 | −0.49 |
2 Mar 2024 Valencia 2 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 17% | 24% | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 |
| Real Madrid | 58% | 24% | 2.00 | 1 | −1.00 |