LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 84 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 81.45 | 47.32 |
| Gap | +2.55 | −1.32 |
| Yield | −2.4% | −14.0% |
Both market films
Real MadridValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | +2.64 | 1* | +0.76 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | +1.46 | 7 | −0.27 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 3* | −0.52 | 13 | +3.81 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −1.03 | 17 | −5.62 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
3 Jan 2025 Valencia 1 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 13% | 20% | 0.59 | 0 | −0.59 |
| Real Madrid | 67% | 20% | 2.21 | 3 | +0.79 |
5 Apr 2025 Real Madrid 1 – 2 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 75% | 16% | 2.39 | 0 | −2.39 |
| Valencia | 10% | 16% | 0.45 | 3 | +2.55 |