LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Real Madrid | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 86 | 49 |
| Points expected by the market | 80.18 | 47.41 |
| Gap | +5.82 | +1.59 |
| Yield | +5.7% | +0.3% |
Both market films
Real MadridValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Real Madrid | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | +0.02 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | +6.69 | 7 | −3.29 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 2* | −0.02 | 20 | +8.64 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 1* | −0.88 | 11 | −3.76 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
1 Nov 2025 Real Madrid 4 – 0 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 84% | 11% | 2.62 | 3 | +0.38 |
| Valencia | 5% | 11% | 0.27 | 0 | −0.27 |
8 Feb 2026 Valencia 0 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 19% | 23% | 0.79 | 0 | −0.79 |
| Real Madrid | 58% | 23% | 1.98 | 3 | +1.02 |